Proportional Representation Is about to Pass in British Columbia

 
The Single-Transferable Vote (STV) is a system where each voting district (riding/constituency) has multiple members. You vote for several candidates by ranking them from most preferred to least preferred. If a candidate gets more than the minimum number of votes needed for election then the "surplus" votes are transferred to the second choice candidates.

If, after transferring "surplus" votes, there are still candidates to be elected, then the candidate with the lowest number of votes is eliminated and the votes are transferred to the voter's next choice. This process of elimination and transfer continues until the required number of candidates are elected [BC-STV].

The system was chosen by a non-partisan citizens' assembly.



A majority of voters in British Columbia voted in favor of this form of proportional representation in the last referendum but they failed to get the 60% majority required to change the voting system. It looks like they will succeed on May 12th, making British Columbia the first province to abolish the old first-past-the-post system and adopt a form of proportional representation.

I'm certain that Ontario won't be far behind. We lost the vote for proportional representation last time but that was probably because the general public didn't understand it. That, plus the fact that many prominent newspaper columnists and editors lied made untrue statements about the dangers of proportional representation. They didn't understand it either.

April 15, 2009
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
Poll: 65 per cent of British Columbians support BC-STV
Younger voters overwhelming in their support

Vancouver, B.C. – The numbers are in and British Columbia voters are giving a big thumbs up to electoral reform with 65 per cent saying they will vote for BC-STV in the upcoming referendum on May 12. That is the top line result of a major survey conducted by Angus Reid Strategies. Support for a new way of electing our MLAs is particularly strong among younger voters – those 18 to 34 – at 74 per cent.

“The survey results indicate that British Columbians and particularly younger voters are ready to embrace a new electoral system in British Columbia,” said Catherine Rogers, vice president, Angus Reid Strategies. “A large majority are looking for electoral change and want an electoral system that is fair and that elects MLAs who are more accountable to them.”

When presented with the question that will appear on the ballot, 65 per cent said yes to BC-STV while only 35 per cent chose to keep the current first-past-the post system. Angus Reid Strategies conducted the online survey March 9 to 12 and polled 702 British Columbians across the province. While support for BC-STV continues to grow, awareness of the upcoming referendum is at 44 per cent.

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The 50 Most Brilliant Atheists of All Time

 
The 50 Most Brilliant Atheists of All Time

Congratulations to Jodie Foster (#46) who's a lot more attractive than atheist #45 who, in turn, is a heck of a lot prettier than #37.

1. Democritus
2. Diagoras of Melos
3. Epicurus
4. Theodorus the Atheist
5. Andrew Carnegie
6. Ivan Pavlov
7. Sigmund Freud
8. Clarence Darrow
9. Richard Strauss
10. Bertrand Russell
11. Jawaharlal Nehru
12. Linus Pauling
13. Paul Dirac
14. Ayn Rand
15. Katherine Hepburn
16. Jacques Monod
17. Subrahmanyan Chandresekhar
18. Alan Turing
19. Francis Crick
20. Claude Shannon
21. Richard Feynman
22. Noam Chomsky
23. James D. Watson
24. Peter Higgs
25. Warren Buffet
26. John Searle
27. Steven Weinberg
28. Carl Sagan
29. David Suzuki
30. George Carlin
31. Bruce Lee
32. Leonard Susskind
33. Stephen Jay Gould
34. Richard Dawkins
35. Daniel Dennett
36. Stephen Hawking
37. Mick Jagger
38. Richard Leakey
39. David Gilmour
40. Brian Eno
41. David Sloan Wilson
42. Steve Wozniak
43. Douglas Adams
44. Steven Pinker
45. PZ Myers
46. Jodie Foster
47. Russell T Davies
48. David Chalmers
49. Sean Carroll
50. Mark Zuckerberg

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G T C A

 
Just when I've (almost) mastered Y M C A, along comes a new challenge.

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Summer Course on Intelligent Design Creationism

 
You can sign up for a full week course on Intelligent Design Creationism at the Discovery Institute in Seattle, Washington (USA) [Deadline Nears for Summer Seminars on Intelligent Design]. It runs from July 10 - 18, 2009 and it's free.

The course is open to any student ... almost. There are a few small hurdles that have to be jumped in order to qualify.

1. A copy of your resume;
2. A letter of recommendation from an ID-friendly source;
3. A copy of your academic transcript;
4. A short (one page) statement of your interest in ID within your field of study.

If anyone wants to attend I'd be happy to write a letter of recommendation.

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Christine Hurley - The Flamboyant Psychic

 
Back in October 2007, I posted a short message about a psychic who was arrested for fraud. I linked to Mike's Weekly Skeptic Rant because he had an interesting multiple choice question [see Psychic Arrested in Calgary].

A Calgary psychic named Christine Hurley posted a comment where she claimed to be as interested as the rest of us in weeding out psychic frauds. (Yes, I do see the irony.)

Since then, she has posted several more comments designed to promote her "skills" in psychic reading. You can benefit from her psychic powers by charging $120 to your credit card for a 30 minute phone reading [Christine Hurley: Prices]. An even better bargain is one hour on the phone for $150!

I'm not exactly sure how this works. Presumably Ms. Hurley will tell you all the important things you need to know in the first 30 minutes. Maybe there are some interesting details that require another half hour.

Read the comments and testimonials that are accumulating at Psychic Arrested in Calgary. It's really amazing to see how some people can be completely duped by Christine Hurley into believing that she has psychic powers.

I wonder why she spends so much time collecting $120 (CDN) from her suckers clients when she could "easily" pocket $1,000,000 (US) in James Randi's One Million Dollar Paranormal Challenge? Does anyone know why she hasn't collected the prize? As a true psychic she must know how Randi's test is going to turn out.

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[Photo Credit: Bryan Schlosser, The Leader-Post]

The Evolution Conspiracy

 
The Evolution Conspiracy is a book by Lisa Shiel. I'd never heard of her until a few days ago but some of you might know her because she's a fan of bigfoot. She has a masters degree in library science.

You can't buy the book until next September but you can read all the rave reviews of this unpublished book on Lisa's website: The Evolution Conspiracy. You can also get an inkling of what the book is about by reading her promotional material. Here's an excerpt ...

Evolution.

One word, deceptive in its simplicity, has transformed the way we look at ourselves and everything around us. Once thought of as unique, man has become one of the animals with no special claim on the planet. As children, few of us question what we learn in biology class about the origins of life and the position man holds in the hierarchy. Science textbooks present evolution as fact—indisputable, inevitable, and incomprehensible to everyone outside the exalted few with PhDs in the appropriate fields.

That’s why this book promotes one key premise—anyone can understand evolution.

That's refreshing. Anyone can understand evolution. Anyone, that is, except Lisa Shiel. Her stupidity and ignorance are on display in the comments she's making on science blogs and on her own website. By her own admission she is dropping comments on all the evolution blogs in order to promote her book [Banned by Evolutionists! Can You Handle It?].

The purpose of this posting is to help give her as much publicity as possible in order to expose her as just another kook who has no idea what evolution is all about.

Here's an example from a posting she made on April 7th: You Can’t Tell a Species by Its Cover.

The theory of evolution involves numerous complicated and confounding strands—almost as many strands, I dare say, as DNA itself. Charles Darwin posited that natural selection drives the evolution of species, and this idea has become the cornerstone of evolutionary theory. In natural selection, traits that seem beneficial are preserved in a species while undesirable traits gradually disappear. Because natural selection cannot account for all adaptations, scientists devised the theory of genetic drift, in which changes occur at random.

Yet no one has ever reproduced the creation of a species via either natural selection or genetic drift; in fact, no one has ever demonstrated scientifically that one species evolves into another. If a theory must adhere to the scientific method to remain a scientific theory, then evolution has failed the test. The scientific method requires repeated testing, and the ability to reproduce results.

Now toss into this mess the recent discovery that some species “evolve” genetically while remaining unchanged anatomically. Scientists at Massey University in New Zealand have found that a reptile called the tuatara differs genetically from its 8,000-year-old ancestors, while retaining the same anatomical makeup and outward appearance. The tuatara’s DNA changes make it the Speedy Gonzales of genetic evolution. According to Axel Meyer of Germany’s University of Konstanz, the discovery suggests “a real disconnect” can exist between genetic and anatomical evolution.

Finally, consider the recent discovery that cryptic species can fool us too—two creatures look identical, but their DNA identifies them as different species. Perhaps the fossilized tuatara aren’t really tuatara after all…

Evolution: The unscientific scientific theory.

Makes you wonder if Lisa Shiel has even read her own book—a book that presumably explains evolution correctly. There are so many factual and conceptual errors in this short posting that it catapults Lisa into contention for the most ignorant IDiot award. And that's saying a lot 'cause the competition is fierce.

Anyway, the bottom line is that there's nothing to see here folks. You can move along to other books and other blogs. Lisa even makes Denyse O'Leary look good.

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Nobel Laureate: Max Theiler

 

The Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine 1951

"for his discoveries concerning yellow fever and how to combat it"

Max Theiler (1899 - 1972) won the Noble Prize in 1951 for his work on combating yellow fever.

Theiler's most important contribution was the discovery of a variant of the yellow fever virus that did not cause the disease in humans. When injected into healthy patients, this variant produced immunity to the normal disease-producing virus.

This discovery was not immediately useful since attenuated virus from mice was more effective in producing immunity—a result also discovered by Theiler. The Nobel Committee felt that Theiler had made a significant contribution to understanding viral diseases.

One gets the impression from reading the presentation speech that Theiler was also being recognized as a representative of work done by the Rockefeller Foundation.

THEME:
Nobel Laureates

The significance of Max Theiler's discovery must be considered to be very great from the practical point of view, as effective protection against yellow fever is one condition for the development of the tropical regions - an important problem in an overpopulated world. Dr. Theiler's discovery does not imply anything fundamentally new, for the idea of inoculation against a disease by the use of a variant of the etiologic agent which, though harmless, produces immunity, is more than 150 years old. Jenner used a natural virus variant, cowpox virus, against smallpox, and Pasteur produced a similar variant of the rabies virus by repeated passage through animals. So far there have been only a few successful attempts to master a disease by such measures, but Dr. Theiler's discovery gives new hope that in this manner we shall succeed in mastering other virus diseases, many of which have a devastating, effect and against which we are still entirely powerless. Max Theiler, therefore, has rendered mankind such a service as Nobel made a condition for the awarding of this prize.

Dr. Theiler. For a period of almost forty years the International Health Division of the Rockefeller Foundation has carried on very comprehensive and fruitful work in combating yellow fever and extending our knowledge of it. Among the many who have made their contributions, you take an especially prominent place, because you have made their contributions profitable and because you have opened the way to greater understanding of the epidemiology of the disease and to an effective prophylaxis against it. The Caroline Institute esteems your research work so highly, not the least for its practical value, that it has found it proper to award this year's Nobel Prize in Physiology or Medicine to you.

I ask you, Dr. Theiler, to receive the prize from the hands of His Majesty, our gracious King.

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[Photo Credit: ©Bettmann/CORBIS, Rights Managed, Corbis]

The images of the Nobel Prize medals are registered trademarks of the Nobel Foundation (© The Nobel Foundation). They are used here, with permission, for educational purposes only.

Gary Goodyear's Letter to Nature

 
Canadian government reaffirms support for science and discovery

Sir

You report researchers' concerns about the Canadian government's support for science in two recent News stories (Nature 457, 646; 2009 and Nature 458, 393; 2009). As Minister of State for Science and Technology, I can say that, despite the global economic situation, the government of Canada remains committed to innovation and discovery. We have increased funding to researchers, both in universities and in the private sector.

In the past three years, for example, we have significantly increased the budgets of federal granting councils, increased scholarships through the Canada Graduate Scholarships Program, and increased the Industrial Research Assistance Program for small and medium-sized businesses. The Budget 2009 announcements include Can$750 million (US$590 million) for the Canada Foundation for Innovation to attract and retain world-leading researchers, and a Can$2-billion infrastructure programme. The government has also put in place two five-year funding agreements with Genome Canada that are worth Can$240 million, to support large-scale, world-class research.

Your readers should therefore rest assured that the government of Canada will continue to fund research for the benefit of all scientists and Canadians.

Isn't it strange that basic science researchers are upset about the fact that funding to the major granting councils has been cut for the next three years?

Either the researchers are correct, and Canadian basic research is in trouble, or Gary Goodyear is correct and the Conservatives are doing a fine job.

I know who is telling the truth.

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Do Science and Religion Conflict in Louisiana?

 
The National Center for Science Education reports on the results from a recent poll in Louisiana [Polling Evolution in Louisiana]. Respondents were asked the following question.

Do you think the scientific theory of evolution is well supported by evidence and widely accepted within the scientific community, or that it is not well supported by evidence and many scientists have serious doubts about it?

39% answered "yes" and 21% didn't know. 40% said that evolution is not well supported by evidence and/or is not accepted by the scientific community.

Let's dismiss the 21% who didn't know the answer. That leaves almost 80% of the population who see no conflict between science and religion. Half of them probably believe in a God who accepts evolution and the other half of them think that the scientists reject evolution, which maked science compatible with creationism.

That's pretty amazing, and scary, when you think about it.

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Teabagging

 
Today is April 15th. It's a significant day in America because income taxes are due. It's also the day when some people are protesting taxes by having "teabagging" parties. If you don't live in the USA, or watch American television, you've probably never heard of "teabagging." Here's a quick summary from a show that I watched on MSNBC.


Listen for Lawrence O'Donnell, who explains the importance of socialism in America. According to O'Donnell, America is like all other Western industrialized nations. It has a mixed economy (capitalism and socialism).

I agree with that. I don't agree with his claim that, compared to all other nations, American probably has the best mix of socialism and capitalism.

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Monday's Molecule #117: Winners

 
UPDATE: The molecule is yellow fever virus.

The Nobel Laureate is Max Theiler.

This week's winner is Maria Altshuler of the University of Toronto.

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Today's "molecule" is fairly complex for a "molecule" but not quite as complex as a living cell. You have to identify the particular type of "molecule" that's shown here but it will be too hard to do that without some clues. One of the clues is the connection to a Nobel Laureate. The other one is cleverly hidden in the bottom part of this posting.

The first person to identify the "molecule" and the Nobel Laureate wins a free lunch at the Faculty Club. Previous winners are ineligible for one month from the time they first won the prize.

There are seven ineligible candidates for this week's reward: Dima Klenchin from the university of Wisconsin, Alex Ling from the University of Toronto, Bill Chaney of the University of Nebraska, Elvis Cela from the University of Toronto, Peter Horwich from Dalhousie University, Devin Trudeau from the University of Toronto, and Shumona De of Dalhousie University

Dima and Bill have donated their free lunch to a deserving undergraduate so I'm going to continue to award an additional free lunch to the first undergraduate student who can accept it. Please indicate in your email message whether you are an undergraduate and whether you can make it for lunch.

THEME:

Nobel Laureates
Send your guess to Sandwalk (sandwalk (at) bioinfo.med.utoronto.ca) and I'll pick the first email message that correctly identifies the molecule and names the Nobel Laureate(s). Note that I'm not going to repeat Nobel Prizes so you might want to check the list of previous Sandwalk postings by clicking on the link in the theme box.

Correct responses will be posted tomorrow.

Comments will be blocked for 24 hours. Comments are now open.

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Child Abuse and the Anti-Vaccination Movement

 
I was attending the Center for Inquiry 12th World Congress in Washington last weekend and I happened to catch a re-broadcast of a Larry King show on the "dangers" of vaccinating children. It was an appropriate reminder of the lack of rationalism in our society.



Normally I'm fairly tolerant of people who reject standard medicine. In fact, society might actually benefit when these stupid people are eliminated by succumbing to various diseases. That's what the Darwin awards are for.

But this case is different. These adults are not putting themselves at risk—they are endangering their children.

If you stop vaccinating your children you are putting them at risk for many deadly diseases. Some of your children will die. If everyone stops vaccinating children then millions of children will die. How can anyone in their right mind think that vaccinations are so dangerous that the risk is worth it?

I'm not surprised that movie actors and average citizens are kooks. I am surprised that normally responsible TV networks like CNN contribute to potential child abuse. But I'm absolutely shocked that there are physicians who go along with the kooks.

One of those physicians is Dr. Bernadine Healy who appears in this CNN clip. I was astonished to hear her advocate more studies, lending credibility to the claims that vaccinations cause autism and other diseases. Bernadine Healy is a Republican who was the head of the National Institutes of Health under George H.W. Bush. She was removed when Clinton took over the Presidency in 1993.

Healy's defense of the anti-vaccination movement did not ring true. Her "statistics" didn't sound reasonable to me but I was in no position to refute them directly. Fortunately Orac has taken up the task at Bernadine Healy: Flirting with the anti-vaccine movement. Thanks Orac.

You know we're in trouble when the media and former NIH directors can't tell the difference between science and superstition.

This reminds me of the debate over the fluoridation of water back in the 1950's. There were kooks who warned us that fluoridation was dangerous and that it was a communist plot.

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Dying for Love in Afghanistan

 
It's been eight years since coalition forces "liberated" Afghanistan. Here's the result: Taleban 'kill love affair couple'.

Mr Azad said: "An unmarried young boy and an unmarried girl who loved each other and wanted to get married had eloped because their families would not approve the marriage."

Officials said the couple were traced by militants after they tried to go to Iran. They were made to return to their village in Khash Rod district. [Nimroz province, south-west Afghanistan - see map]

"Three Taleban mullahs brought them to the local mosque and they passed a fatwa (religious decree) that they must be killed. They were shot and killed in front of the mosque in public," the governor said. ...

Extrajudicial "honour killings" have been widely carried out in Afghanistan since then by conservative families angered by a relative who has brought them shame - usually by refusing to marry a chosen partner.

The Taleban have widened their influence over the past three years and now control many remote districts where there are not enough coalition forces to establish a permanent presence.

The people of Afghanistan should make up their own minds about whether this sort of behavior is tolerable. We cannot do it for them. As long as the country is semi-united in repulsing foreign invaders it will put off the social reforms that could bring it into the 21st century.

It's time to leave and let them face up to, and solve, their own internal problems. No people in the world would tolerate a foreign army from a different culture coming in and telling them how to behave—even if they suspected that their behavior was immoral.

Imagine that the USA was invaded and conquered by a European army who insisted that gays be allowed to marry, socialized medicine is begun, the metric system is imposed, proportional representation becomes the law, and capital punishment is abolished. Would those changes be welcomed by Americans who all of a sudden recognize that the foreigners are correct? Or would the changes be resisted even more fiercely because advocating change means siding with the enemy?

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[Hat Tip: Pharyngula]

Wild chimpanzees exchange meat for sex

 
I don't know if it's true that Wild chimpanzees exchange meat for sex but I know some vegetarians who may find it interesting.

Wild female chimpanzees copulate more frequently with males who share meat with them over long periods of time, according to a study led by researchers from the Max Planck Institute for Evolutionary Anthropology in Germany, published in the open-access, peer-reviewed journal PLoS ONE April 8.

It probably works for humans as well.

I'm going out to buy some steaks for dinner.

The original paper is Gomes and Boesch (2009)

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Gomes, C.M. and Boesch, C. (2009) Wild Chimpanzees Exchange Meat for Sex on a Long-Term Basis. PLoS ONE 4(4): e5116. DOI:10.1371/journal.pone.0005116

Which Gas Is Cheapest?

 
Here's three photographs of gas station signs. The one on the left was taken in Mississauga, Ontario, Canada and the two on the right were taken in Bethesda, Maryland, USA. The Bethesda gas stations are one block apart.

Assuming that the photos were taken on the same day (Wednesday, April 8, 2009), which station has the cheapest gas if you pay by credit card?

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