Saturday, September 25, 2010

A Challenge to Theists and their Accommodationist Supporters

 
Jerry Coyne is to be congratulated for reading The Huffington Post. I can't be bothered, but I'm happy when he finds something interesting [CfI declares war on atheists].

His latest discovery is a childish rant by John Shook, Director of Education and Senior Research Fellow, Center for Inquiry. Like Jerry Coyne, I am terrbily disappointed in the American branch of the Center for Inquiry. If the kind of nonsence they're spreading ever begins to contaminate the Centre for Inquiry in Canada then I will quite the organization. (I am currently a CFI Canada Advisory Fellow.)

Here's what Shook says in his HuffPo article [For Atheists and Believers, Ignorance Is No Excuse].
Atheists are getting a reputation for being a bunch of know-nothings. They know nothing of God, and not much more about religion, and they seem proud of their ignorance.

This reputation is a little unfair, yet when they profess how they can't comprehend God, atheists really mean it. To listen to the loudest atheists, you can hear the bewilderment. And they just can't believe how a thing like religion could appeal to any intelligent person. The mythological story told by atheists recounts how religion arose through vast ignorance and perversity. A plague upon humanity, really, infecting the dimwitted or foolish with viral memes about spirits and gods. If there's no arguing with irrational people or dumb viruses, what's to be done?

Astonished that intellectual defenses of religion are still maintained, many prominent atheists disparage theology. They either dismiss the subject as irrelevant, or, if they do bother to acknowledge it, slim refutations of outdated arguments for a medieval God seem enough. Atheists cheer on such bold leadership, but what is really being learned? Challenging religion's immunity from criticism is one thing; perpetuating contempt for religion's intellectual side is another. Too many followers only mimic the contempt, forgetting that you won't effectively criticize what you would not understand. The "know-nothing" wing of the so-called New Atheism really lives up to that label. Nonbelievers reveling in their ignorance are an embarrassing betrayal of the freethought legacy.
The question before us is whether there is a God or there isn't. So far, I have not been convinced by any argument in favor of supernatural beings. Every single argument that I've encountered seems flawed. Many of them are stupid and nonsensical.

I am not a "know-nothing." I've made a big effort to learn the latest arguments for the existence of God. I've attended lectures by well-known theists and by well-known accommodationists. I read their books. I read their articles. I've even attended courses on religion.

I'm not going to embarrass the theists and accommodationists by listing the really stupid books written by people in the theist camp. John Shook has pointed out the worst of the theist arguments. Here's four books that supposedly represent the best of modern religious arguments for the existence of God ...
  • The Big Questions in Science and religion. by Keith Ward (Regius Professor of Divinity Emeritus, Oxford University), Templeton Foundation Press, West Conshohocken, Pennsylvania (2008)

  • Belief: Reading on the Reason for Faith edited by Francis Collins, HarperOne, New York (2010)

  • Science and Spirituality: Making Room for Faith in the Age of Science by Michael Ruse, Cambridge University Press, New York (2010)

  • The Dawkin's Delusion: Atheist fundamentalism and the denial of the divine. by Alister McGrath and Joanna Collicutt McGrath, published by the Society for Promoting Christian Knowledge (2007)
This brings me to my challenge. I challenge all theists and all their accommodationist friends to post their very best 21st century, sophisticated (or not), arguments for the existence of God. They can put them in the comments section of this posting, or on any of the other atheist blogs, or on their own blogs and websites. Just send me the link.

Try and make it concise and to the point. It would be nice if it's less than 100 years old. Keep in mind that there are over 1000 different gods so it would be helpful to explain just which gods the argument applies to.

I don't care where they post the argument, just get on with it. I'm not interested in any other details about theology. Those points only become relevant once you've convinced this atheist that you have a rational argument for the existence of God. Don't bother telling me how you reconcile your God with evil, or why you believe in miracles, or why transcendence is important in your life, or how many angels can dance on the head of a pin. Don't insult my intelligence by pointing out that religion has done a lot of good things in the past as if that were proof of the existence of the supernatural. Don't be silly enough to try proving god by telling me that religion makes people feel good. So does chocolate, and wine.

Let's stop the whining about how "know-nothing" atheists are ignoring the very best arguments for the existence of God. Come on, all you theists and accommodationists, put your money where your mouth is. Give us something of substance instead of hiding behind The Courtier's Reply. Let's see the angels.

I'm betting that wimps like John Shook and his accommodationist friends don't have a damn clue what they're talking about. I'm betting that they haven't the foggiest notion of any new and sophisticated arguments for the existence of God that the New Atheists haven't already addressed. I'm betting they're just blowing smoke in order to provide cover for their theist friends in the hope of saving them from intellectual embarrassment.1

That's why he says in his article ...
Christian theology has come a long way since St. Thomas Aquinas. Under stress from modern science and Enlightenment philosophy, it has explored cosmological, ethical, emotional, and existential dimensions of religious life. Many kinds of theology have emerged, replacing a handful of traditional arguments for God with robust methods of defending religious viewpoints. There are philosophical atheists who have quietly and successfully kept pace. The discipline of atheology is quite capable of matching these theologies with its skeptical replies, so atheists need not be intimidated. Taking theology seriously enough to competently debate God should not be beneath atheism.
Too bad he doesn't mention even one of those supposedly robust new arguments for the existence of supernatural beings. Could it possibly be because they don't exist?

Guess we'll find out pretty soon. I'll wait for one week.


1. They may also want to be saving themselves since many accommodationists have spent a lifetime studying theology. It must be embarrassing to be told that their life's work is no more important than studying fairy tales.

552 comments:

  1. I think you already got the only answer you're going to get: These sophisticated arguments exist but we won't tell you where or what they are.

    I honestly can't understand how so many religion-defenders say this (including the final quote you use)! Why can they never name a single argument or author? It's some weird logical disconnect.

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  2. Don't forget Shook's book is coming out, so maybe he gives the best arguments in that. We must buy it to be educated and not ignorant! Buy! Buy! Bu....sorry, what came over me?

    Kele - the reason no names are mentioned is the same reason Phil Plait mentioned gave no specific evidence - it's so obvious, the arguments and people are all around you and trivially easy to find. Like me, you must be a really lazy atheist. I hang my head in shame...not!

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  3. Premise 1: Eric Clapton is God.
    Premise 2: Eric Clapton exists.
    Ergo: God exists.

    Easy.

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  4. Anonymous said:
    Premise 1: Eric Clapton is God.
    Premise 2: Eric Clapton exists.
    Ergo: God exists.

    Easy.


    I disagree, Duane Allman is God, He just collaborated slowhand

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  5. I'm thinking what God brings out as his best argument, is the best argument:

    "Remember the former things, those of long ago; I am God, and there is no other; I am God, and there is none like me. I make known the end from the beginning, from ancient times, what is still to come. I say: My purpose will stand, and I will do all that I please." (Isa 46:9-10)

    So fulfilled prophecy is the evidence, and we may even note that there are falsifiable prophecies, such as "Babylon will never be rebuilt or reinhabited" (Isa. 13:19-20, Jer. 25:12, Jer. 51:26), and it appears it hasn't been, though people have tried. Meaning Alexander the Great, and recently, Saddam Hussein.

    More such thoughts here, from various discussions of such prophecies.

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  6. Recently I asked something similar and so far have received no serious replies. This is what I find frustrating about the back and forth. If you dare use science for something you're accused of scientism (and that means they can ignore the criticism), you're always so ignorant and you hide behind the Courtier's Reply (which I think is about as valid a response than accuse someone who dismisses astrology for not being able to make a birth chart), all criticism is done in such a disrespectful tone, yet there's very little in taking the objections seriously and making a case. It makes as much sense as arguing against the US healthcare bill on account of death panels.

    When I take away claims of scientism, not taking theology seriously, and outrage, I find there's very little left. Perhaps there is, but it's hard to tell when the main complaints are about the demarcation problem and whether one should have immersed themselves in Aboriginal Dreamtime before speaking out. If there's reason to it, then give the reason without all the hand-waving about how the critics miss the mark.

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  7. So fulfilled prophecy is the evidence,

    The rooster crowed, and the sun came up, therefore the rooster made the sun come up.

    It's written that some prophet said something wouldn't happen, that something didn't happen, therefore that prophesy was fulfilled.

    Erm.....

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  8. As far as I can tell faith is a belief held deeply in the unconscious brain. It is fuelled by emotional drives and almost impervious to rational argument. Whether it is 'true' or not is not significant as long as the emotional drives are satisfied.

    Theology appears to be a hypertrophied conscious rationalization of the behaviours arising from the unconscious beliefs.

    Even if theology could produce a cast iron argument in support of faith there still needs to be further work to show that the faith itself was not based on an illusion or delusion.

    The observed fact that there are many faiths, many rationalisations, and no convincing objective proof after thousands of years of searching suggests to me that there is little possibility of objective proof being found.

    I even acknowledge that my belief in being rational is just as much down to my emotional drives as any other belief.

    It doesn't bother me that people believe in various gods, or sports teams, or TV programs, or celebrities, particular hobbies, or political parties. I do push back when they try and impose their subjective preferences on me.

    I've given up waiting for the killer explanation of God. I don't think there is one.

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  9. After 40 some years of listening to stories from believers, I've resorted to asking them for hard empirical evidence, reminding them that without empirical evidence, any philosphical speculation is just mental masturbation. Funny, they never deliver.

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  10. Never mind evidence; I'd simply be satisfied if somebody could come up with a logically-coherent definition of the term, "god." You know? One that doesn't include such logical absurdities equivalent to "a triangle with two right angles" or "the largest prime number"?

    Cheers,

    b&

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  11. This reminds of sitting in a basement, oh, 20+ years ago, playing a rousing game of D&D, and the discussion turned to dwarves and gnomes within the game, and someone said, "But in real life female gnomes are larger than male gnomes!"

    There was a pause, and we all slooowly backed away from the speaker...


    All the "arguments" from evil and other sundry things can be summed up thusly: prove that god (pick a god, any god) exists. We can talk about why god lets evil exist or who created the creator, but it is only a thought exercise within the boundries of the game.

    In real life, female gnomes just aren't.

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  12. If there is any argument for the existence of gods that is not based on wishful thinking, special pleading, word games or "I feel it in my heart", then I have not heard of it yet. The question is simply how deep a individual apologist will hide the fallacy under obfuscating language.

    Indeed curious how people who say there are better ones around hardly ever spell them out. Who knows, maybe someone can meet your challenge. Not holding my breath though...

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  13. How is it possible to decide which fictional being is to be adulated? There are so many and they are all so all knowing and all powerful that I am unable to decide which is the best. Why can't one of them come down from above(or where ever they come from) and demonstrate that they are the one? Gosh, that would really help.

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  14. BTW, all of the female dwarfs in my house really are bigger than the males. But, it doesn't matter because they all fit nicely into my microwave. I have a very nice sauce recipe, too.

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  15. @Ben Goreng
    One that doesn't include such logical absurdities equivalent to "a triangle with two right angles"...

    Sorry to get all pedantic on you (okay, fine, not really all that sorry, I love this shit) - but you can get a triangle with two or even three right angles if that triangle is scribed on a curved plane.

    Best example is if the plane is spherical, such as the surface of the Earth is (approximately).

    1) Stand at any point on the equator, and head in a straight line to the north pole.
    2) Turn 90° to the right.
    3) Continue forwards until the equator again.
    4) Turn 90° to the right.
    5) Continue on until you reach your starting point.
    6) Turn 90° to the right.
    7) You should now be facing the north pole again.

    This might sound facetious, and people like to disagree. But it's true - the second you move beyond a flat Euclidean plane, a lot of the old caveats about geometry don't apply any more.

    This technique is also very interesting, because it allows us to measure the curvature of the universe. It's cool stuff. Laurence Krauss explains it in a lecture. I won't attempt to paraphrase him here - I'm no physicist. But he has a lecture that is very much worth listening to. Check it out.

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7ImvlS8PLIo

    Now, moving back on topic:

    I always thought that theology was all about starting from the assumption that God exists and trying to match that assumption against reality. The various contortions and paths that must be taken to reconcile the assumption with an unhelpful reality constitute what is 'learned' from the exercise, for want of a better term.

    For that reason, I always though that theology has no role to play when the desired conclusion is the existence of God. You can't assume your conclusion in the attempt to prove that conclusion, after all.

    So I always thought theology was considered to be formally impotent as a prosthelytizing tool.

    I'd be interested to see if any theologians stop by to back up or contradict that view. Don't think it's going to happen, mind you. But it would be interesting.

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  16. @Lee Merrill
    falsifiable prophecies, such as "Babylon will never be rebuilt or reinhabited" (Isa. 13:19-20, Jer. 25:12, Jer. 51:26), ...
    Given the time stretch, it can be argued that this was falsified. According to Wikipedia, Babylon was not destroyed at any time these prophets could refer to, as it seems to have been deserted only by 275 BC, afer some 2000 years occupation, and 300-400 years after the prophets. Few cities have stretches of occupation that long.
    Most cities have disappeared over time, so as a general statement this is not a particularly difficult prophecy. Give a prophecy with a specific date that is not a later interpolations. (Isa's prophecies about Sanacherib were false).

    The only valid position seems to me that of DiscoveredJoys: As far as I can tell faith is a belief held deeply in the unconscious brain. It is fuelled by emotional drives and almost impervious to rational argument. Whether it is 'true' or not is not significant as long as the emotional drives are satisfied.
    That is why no answer will ever come to any question about proof of God: faith does not need proof, and does not care about disproof.

    Ihe corollary is that it is a waste of time to battle against faith, and a good time investment to battle silly excrecences as creationism.

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  17. Labels can be a problem. I'd normally think of myself as "accommodation", because I am accommodating to theists, as I understand the word.

    It doesn't mean I think they have any sensible argument, or that they are going to get any better ones. I'm accommodating in the sense that I am not particularly fired up to persuade everyone else of this; and that it doesn't bother me that theists might be friends, family, my local government representative, my grocer, the author of books I like, or the scientist who is working on some subject I'm studying.

    So a quick word here from an accommodationalist -- as I understand the term anyway -- who doesn't see any reason to answer the question you pose.

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  18. sylas says,

    So a quick word here from an accommodationalist -- as I understand the term anyway -- who doesn't see any reason to answer the question you pose.

    In this context, an accommodationist is an atheist who doesn't want vocal atheists to be too critical of belief in the supernatural.

    Those accomodationists advance several arguments in support of their attacks on the so-called "New Atheists."

    1. They don't like the idea that the very personal beliefs of theists are being challenged. This seems too personal and insulting.

    2. They don't want to alienate the more benign theists with whom they would like to form alliances on other issues.

    3. They claim that the "New Atheist" strategy is ineffective and may actually be counter-productive because nobody listens to radicals.

    4. They claim that the "New Atheists" are naive and uninformed about theology so their arguments against God are worthless.

    I'm addressing the last point, one which is strongly advocated by many accommodationists, especially the ones who are philosophers.

    An accommodationist isn't just someone who is tolerant of the beliefs of others. You and I are both tolerant people. An accommodationist is one who advocates making some kind of accommodation to his/her principles in order to avoid offending believers.

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  19. I would go a little further in terms of defining accomodationism since it is not a question of being deferential or polite to members of every faith. I don't know any accomodationist that shows polite respect to the belifs of Fred Phelps or Kent Hovind in the same way they show deference to the beliefs of mainstream Christians. This shows the political nature of tAhe question. If tje Scientologists or Mormons were a majority then you could bet we'd be hearing calls for respect for the idea of Xenu and Jesus visiting America.

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  20. > Heleen: Most cities have disappeared over time, so as a general statement this is not a particularly difficult prophecy.

    Prophesying that Babylon would be destroyed would indeed seem a probable event, eventually.

    > Give a prophecy with a specific date that is not a later interpolations.

    That's the good part about saying Babylon will never be rebuilt / re-inhabited, it can't be post-dated, and it can be falsified at any time.

    I think this is a splendid set-up for the atheists / Muslims / etc., you want to disprove my beliefs? Well, rebuild or reinhabit Babylon.

    Saddam Hussein and Alexander the Great even tried.

    "The Jewish and Egyptian and Assyrian peoples will survive as races" is another such prophecy, let us note Hitler's attempt that failed, with the Jewish people.

    If he was such a fine Christian as some say, he should have been reading his Bible. Can't be done.

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  21. lee_merill, I note that you didn't notice the flaw in your logic.

    Prophesy is a logical fallacy. It doesn't matter whether the event will or will not ever occur, because there's no way to show a connection between prophet and prophesy. You just assume that it was fulfilled because you already believe in prophesy. If you didn't believe in prophesy, you'd want proof of prophesy, which would require proof of God. Instead, you use prophesy as proof of God, which begs the very question we're looking at. As it stands, pointing a prophet and a prophesy is no more helpful than pointing at a rooster which crowed before the sun came up.

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  22. shorter Brian: Show us that a god exits, and then we'll talk prophets and religions.

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  23. > You just assume that it was fulfilled because you already believe in prophesy.

    Nope, I believe they are fulfilled because there is no mayor of Babylon, nor any such city, and because there are still Jewish, and Egyptian, and Assyrian people.

    The more of these coincidences that stack up, the less likely it is that this is sheer coincidence.

    You may of course postulate some other agent than the Jewish God as the author of these statements, but then I might be inclined to shave with Occam's razor.

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  24. Nope, I believe they are fulfilled

    Exactly, you believe there is such a think as prophesy, which means you believe there is a god. But you can't argue from prophesy to god, as prophesy presupposes god. You're begging the question; is there a God?

    because there is no mayor of Babylon, nor any such city, and because there are still Jewish, and Egyptian, and Assyrian people.

    But that shows nothing. As you state yourself it's a coincidence. A fluke. Just as pointing to the rooster that crowed after the sun came up shows that that rooster made the sun come up.


    You may of course postulate some other agent than the Jewish God as the author of these statements, but then I might be inclined to shave with Occam's razor.


    Postulating an agent, especially one as unecessary and complex as the Jewish God instead of coincidence means you've thrown away Occam's razor. There's no need for an agent, you've unnecessarily multiplied your entities.

    By the way, you're supposed to proved God exists, not ask others to prove your coincidences aren't fulfilled prophesy.

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  25. @ Lee Merrill
    Consult Wikipedia and you'll see that Alexander the Great did not try to rebuilt Babylon: it was a functioning city until after his time. Babylon was not destroyed at the times the prophets wanted it to be destroyed. And you should consult Isa about Sanacherib, because once you start comparing Kings, Chronicles and Isa about Sanacherib you'll understand that Isa's prophecies were not fulfilled (that is you'll see that is you have an open mind about the text).
    Coincidences happen, so they will go on stacking up. It seem rather naive to think 'after' is the same as 'because of'.

    @ Larry Moran
    Four very clear points. Points 2 and 3 are the most important. If people make point 4, it might be because of exasperation that their point 3 is not taken seriously. In fact, that atheists are getting more and more counterproductive, and that they have to do something to get a balance back.
    Point 4 sounds to me as saying to the more radical atheists "shut up, you're as bad as the sillies in the other camp". WEIT in an updat has a quote from this John Shook showing he clearly has an atheist position. So what made him irritated enough to start defending moderate religious positions? Irritation with very vocal atheists?

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  26. "So fulfilled prophecy is the evidence, and we may even note that there are falsifiable prophecies...."

    Such as the prophecy that when the Messiah came, war, death, etc., would stop and the Kingdom of God on Earth would occur. Old Testament prophecies about the World to Come (Olam Ha-Ba) after the Messiah appears:

    Olam Ha-Ba will be characterized by the peaceful co-existence of all people (Isaiah 2:4). Hatred, intolerance and war will cease to exist. Some authorities suggest that the laws of nature will change, so that predatory beasts will no longer seek prey and agriculture will bring forth supernatural abundance (Isaiah 11:6-11:9). Others, however, say that these statements are merely an allegory for peace and prosperity.

    All of the Jewish people will return from their exile among the nations to their home in Israel (Isaiah 11:11-12; Jeremiah 23:8; 30:3; Hosea 3:4-5). The law of the Jubilee will be reinstated.

    In the Olam Ha-Ba, the whole world will recognize the Jewish G-d as the only true G-d, and the Jewish religion as the only true religion (Isaiah 2:3; 11:10; Micah 4:2-3; Zechariah 14:9). There will be no murder, robbery, competition or jealousy. There will be no sin (Zephaniah 3:13). Sacrifices will continue to be brought in the Temple, but these will be limited to thanksgiving offerings, because there will be no further need for expiatory offerings.

    So either Jesus was not the Messiah, or this prophecy has conclusively been proved wrong. Which is your preferred answer?

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  27. It's sort of the opposite of what you asked for, but I happened to have composed a response to Plantinga's modal form of the ontological argument just yesterday, if anybody is interested.

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  28. It seems as if the best arguments for God are as immaterial as he is.

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  29. Lee Merrill in comment 3 makes her approach clear: God exists because my "big book of God" says he exists.

    It's a BOOK! Nothing in the book offers proof of the existence of a creator. Appealing to a book as the supreme authoritative grounding for your beliefs is the problem.

    Leave the book aside and argue for a God. I dare you. :-)

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  30. I think any serious explanation of god belief and religion in general needs to talk about memes. All successful religions make logical sense when viewed as collections of effective memes that through a process of design and social evolution (selection) have come to dominate the current culture. While this view allows an atheist to understand religious believers (they are infected hosts that are motivated to defend and spread their infection), I don't think we will every have a theist who is prepared to discuss their heart felt belief this way.

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  31. I have been studying fairy tales for many years now and I find it to be quite a worthwhile pursuit, so fuck you.

    Of course, I don't pretend that they are true in the literal sense, but I don't see why that should make it unhelpful to study them.

    Theology is less helpful than studying folklore because it proceeds from the assumption that its myths are true, which discourages critical examination of them. It's like assuming that just because somebody wrote a book about a dragon, that dragon must have literally existed (yet having no problem acknowledging that all of the other crucial details of the story are fictitious as long as you can cling to the existence of the dragon). I can't think of a less helpful approach to studying literature.

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  32. It's pretty absurd to say that an "accommodationist," i.e. an atheist, would accept a solid argument for the existence of God.

    But, as someone who definitely fits in most people's category of "faitheist" or what have you, here's my argument for accommodationism:

    1) People have personal experiences with something that appears to them to be divine.

    2) Not having access to their experiences, I have no reason to believe that their experiences are invalid.

    3) Therefore, insofar as there are no testable consequences, I feel obligated to respect, though not to agree with, their interpretation of their experiences.

    (There's a lot of sophistication to the last that I'm leaving out for purposes of concision, but will readily post.)

    Arguments from ideas other than personal experience I treat much less respectfully.

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  33. The argument that you guys have missed is this, God is omniscient and omnipresent. When he sent his son to Earth 2000 years ago, he knew all about the geysers on Enceladus and the other wonders of the solar system.

    So the persecution of Galileo at al was just a test, a whimsical joke if you like, and the punch line will be when we find the nativity scene on Titan.

    QED

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  34. Good news, Lee! This site is also god. Check out what it prophesises for me, a Gemini:

    "You may be ready for some major career changes, Gemini. You could be fed up with the stress and long hours of the corporate environment. Surely in this age of technology there's a way to spend more time at home without sacrificing the quality of your work. Think about it for a few days. If you propose a feasible alternative to your boss, the positive response may surprise you."

    I totally am ready for a career change! What a coincidence!

    But wait, it would seem there's another prophesying deity in the cosmos:

    "You're on the move once again, and you are feeling good about the new direction. In fact, you may not even be paying much attention to the destination, as the journey is all-consuming!"

    Why, just tomorrow I happen to be leaving on a short trip to meet my girlfriend, where we'll spend a week together. It's even true that I don't care about where we go, as long as we're together!

    Two separate, and accurate prophesies? And those were just from the first two hits on Google for "horoscope"! How unlikely is that?

    I hope you don't mind converting to polytheism. Hallelujah!

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  35. So if AJKamper, after a big night on the town, says spiders are crawling all over his body, yet no spiders are visible, I need to "respect his interpretation" since I can't feel the crawling sensation myself.

    How many logic courses have you flunked, dude?

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  36. Steve:

    The spiders hypothesis is a touch more testable; considering that I specifically stated "insofar as there are no testable consequences," it seems to me that your reading comprehension is far too poor for you to be making snide comments about others' logic.

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  37. Pierce R. ButlerSep 28, 2010 11:18 AM

    48 hours later, and so far Lee Merrill has taken the lead as the b(rav)est theologian in the world!

    Maybe others would challenge him or her for the title if a tangible award were to be announced... Where is the Templeton Foundation when we really need them?

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  38. AJ is still having logic problems, I see. If there's an "experience", then that IS a testable consequence. We can investigate where it comes from. Now, we know that religious feelings can be stimulated by chemical or electrical means (either exogenously, or endogenously as in the case of epilepsy- to which we owe the Koran by the way.) Wake me up when there are DATA showing that such feelings can also be stimulated by "non-natural" causes, whatever that might even mean. Paging William of Occam! Report to Sandwalk, stat.

    Religious people, like all people, deserve respect. Their beliefs don't. Nor does your silly accomodationism.

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  39. I can't believe someone is actually using as a reference a fictional book whose text had not been codified at all during the time Babylon was destroyed and maybe not even written until after it!

    We have evidence for when Babylon ceased to be inhabited (not "fell"), you see, a stone tablet that talks about a mass evacuation from the city to Seleucia, dated 275 BCE.

    This doesn't help the case for the "prophecies" because there's just no way to know for sure at this point if the Nevi'm (the prophetic books) were written before 275 BCE. Any evidence that it was would be fascinating to historians, I'm sure.

    It also doesn't help that the Dead Scrolls showed numerous variations in their same books of the Tanakh as late as the early Christian era. There was no consistency in texts, meaning they were constantly being edited or mistakes passed on, or a jillion other mistakes!

    Finally, it would have been astonishingly easy to write a text in the days before document authentication, and claim that it was "older" than the event it predicts. Nitwits still fall for that con.

    Anyone who thinks biblical predications are worth the paper they're written on is dangerously naive.

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  40. 1) People have personal experiences with something that appears to them to be divine.

    2) Not having access to their experiences, I have no reason to believe that their experiences are invalid.

    3) Therefore, insofar as there are no testable consequences, I feel obligated to respect, though not to agree with, their interpretation of their experiences.


    (1) I have had personal experiences with something that seems to me (appears is the wrong word, usually no visual hallucinations accompany my feelings of transcendence) to be divine.
    (2) The feelings described in (1) were similar to but usually not as intense as the feelings of transcendence invoked by experimentation with controlled substances that I may or may not have done (which, if they happened at all, were also often accompanied by quite viridical visual and auditory hallucinations).
    (3) In (2), my experiences were no doubt the result of a change in my body/brain chemistry brought about by ingesting (or maybe not!) various chemicals. But body/brain chemistry is dynamic, and one's subjective state is demonstrably dependent on one's current (but soon to change) body/brain chemistry.
    (4) Therefore, the most likely explanation for feelings of transcendence or contact with the divine is an unusual or rare subjective state brought about by a change in body/brain chemistry. This is because a) we know body/brain chemistry is dynamic, b) we know that at least some changes in it can cause feelings of transcendence, but c) we don't know that there is any such thing as the divine, and d) even if there was, we couldn't be sure it would or could cause feelings of transcendence and e) even if it did cause feelings of transcendence, it's unclear how we could differentiate these from the ones resulting from mere changes in body/brain chemistry.

    You don't have to assume the "experiencer" is lying, just that they're mistaken. And given the average human being's track record on being mistaken, this is quite a likely assumption.

    -Dan L.

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  41. Steve, that's an absurd standard. You are expecting a proof of divine experience. I didn't offer that. I simply said that I can't judge someone's experiences till I've had them. In order to test your idea, we'd pretty much have to sit someone in an MRI and wait till they started talking to God. Which would be kind of fun, but maybe expensive.

    Moreover, there are a lot of experiences which we don't know "where they come from," except in the bluntest, least precise way. Our understanding of the brain is not remotely sufficient yet to prove the exact genesis of every experience.

    That an experience has happened is testable--where it comes from is only fractionally so. We can make someone (though not fully predictably) sense the existence of God--just like we can get someone to see flashes of light when no light is there. That doesn't mean that light doesn't exist.

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  42. @AJKamper: I really do respect your argument, but it seems a bit too easy. You have made me feel like an accommodationist of sorts with your logic.

    Let's say that you follow your own steps to default on an obligation to respect someone's beliefs. But, next, you have to include more information from those beliefs. What if the beliefs include a monthly raping of women to appease their god or gods? It is not enough to say that you will default toward respect if you do not include the types of beliefs (even if they are non-testable) that would not be tolerated by your own personal ethical standards.

    I think many good arguments can be made that mainstream beliefs infringe upon the basic moral dignity of lots of other people and therefore do not obligate respect.

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  43. Dan L:

    Well, yes, I think they're mistaken--or else I wouldn't be an atheist!

    But I'm not willing to assume that because my experiences of divinity (hypothetically--I haven't ever had any in reality) haven't held up to scrutiny means that someone else's are irrational.

    And in cases where someone has no particular reason to believe that one's experiences are mistaken, it's rational to believe the experience of one's senses, isn't it?

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  44. AJ, your gasp of semantics equals your grasp of logic, I see. What Larry and I ask for is not proof- that concept anyway belongs to math, not science- but EVIDENCE. Got any? And remember, we DO have plenty of evidence of natural causes for religious experiences, which is why William has a bone to pick with you.

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  45. And in cases where someone has no particular reason to believe that one's experiences are mistaken, it's rational to believe the experience of one's senses, isn't it?

    It's not the experiences that are "mistaken"- that's a category error, experiences are what they are- but the explanation for them. You DID have an experience of spiders crawling over you after that bender; I don't doubt that.

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  46. Victor Debs:

    Excellent point. Cute, too.

    I guess I have a twofold response:

    1) My argument really only goes as far as the existence of divinity, not associated beliefs. THose usually rely on some magic book, or Statement From Above, or whatever. For magic books like the Bible or Quran, there's enough evidence disproving their divinity that I can ignore or debunk morals from those texts. Alternately, it clearly comes from a corrupt culture, which can be ignored for similar reasons.

    2) But for people who have heard the Word of God, and it tells them to be evil, my feeling is that either they're really sick, e.g. schizophrenic and to be pitied, or else they've found an excuse for believing something they wanted to anyway. Most Abrahams don't put Isaac up on the altar if they want Isaac to live. So the, they're still evil and denouncable.

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  47. Steve:

    Evidence would be if I were trying to convince YOU that it were true. I'm not, and I think it'd be stupid for someone else to.

    I'm just saying that someone with a religious experience has that experience as evidence in and of itself.

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  48. No AJ, they have only the raw experience, but zero evidence to support their preferred supernatural explanation. Whereas I have alternative explanations that ARE supported by evidence. Try harder- this isn't rocket science.

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  49. Funny that no one has yet mentioned the possibility
    that CFI's sudden embrace of accommodationism might have something to do with money. Organizations like CFI must really be hurting for donations in these tough economic times. Templeton Foundation has lots of money available for the right recipients. Do I need to go on...?

    -fyreflye

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  50. "And in cases where someone has no particular reason to believe that one's experiences are mistaken, it's rational to believe the experience of one's senses, isn't it?"

    Except that it's never the case that one has no particular reason to believe that one's experiences are mistaken, AJ.

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  51. But I'm not willing to assume that because my experiences of divinity...haven't held up to scrutiny means that someone else's are irrational.

    But that's not the argument I'm making. See below.

    And in cases where someone has no particular reason to believe that one's experiences are mistaken, it's rational to believe the experience of one's senses, isn't it?

    One has to accede to the fact of one's experience, but the fact of experience doesn't say anything about the cause of the experience. To assume something about the cause of an experience based on the fact or content of it is simply not a valid inference -- because it's so easy for us to be fooled!

    Because we are easily fooled as to the nature of causes of our experiences, I really believe the only justifiable approach to epistemology is skepticism. Thus, I'm not concluding that because my experiences of transcendence were not divinely caused that those of others also aren't -- that would not be a skeptical claim, because it does not follow logically and there's no way to establish direct evidence for such a claim.

    Instead, I'm trying to explain the whole notion of transcendent experiences using as few unwarranted assumptions as possible. I don't need to assume body/brain chemistry affects subjective state -- that's fairly well established. I don't need to assume that certain body/brain chemistries correlate with feelings of transcendence. I do have to assume the causal connection, but there's good indirect evidence for a causal link there. Add to this the fact, not the assumption, that people are often mistaken as to the causes of the experiences.

    I don't need any notion of godhood, divinity, or spirituality to explain feelings of transcendence. In fact, those things make it more complicated to justify or explain because now we have to explain how one knows or even can know the difference between chemically and spiritually induced feelings of transcendence.

    I'm not saying, "God doesn't exist." I'm saying that there's good reasons to disbelieve "God exists." I'm making a negative argument for God's existence, not a positive argument against God's existence. I'm not trying to invalidate people's experiences of God directly, I'm trying to show there's a better (simpler, more parsimonious, better-attested by empirical discoveries) explanation for why they have such experiences.

    -Dan L.

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  52. Steve:

    Again, that's the equivalent of saying that, since we can make someone experience flashes of light without seeing light, then there is no reason to believe that light exists.

    In short, the ability to create the same sensation is an alternative explanation, but it's not sufficiently convincing to meet the Occam standard. You'd have to explain, for one, why the hell we have a part of our brain that creates an experience of divinity.

    It convinces you because you don't want to believe, not because it's actually sufficient into and of itself.

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  53. Oops, hit 'publish' too soon.

    And I've had multiple transcendent experiences, both religiously and pharmacologically induced. Not one of them did I assume they had any closer relationship with reality than last night's dreams. I don't demand that people 'respect' my dreams, so why would I demand that they 'respect' my divine experiences.

    Just because others are uncritical of their senses does not mean I have to be.

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  54. I'm just saying that someone with a religious experience has that experience as evidence in and of itself.


    This is related to what I was saying in my last comment about an experience being evidence for the fact of itself, but not the cause of itself. A religious experience is evidence of an experience that feels religious, not evidence of an experiences that was caused by some divine or spiritual entity or substance.

    -Dan L.

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  55. "Again, that's the equivalent of saying that, since we can make someone experience flashes of light without seeing light, then there is no reason to believe that light exists."

    No, but it means that someone's experience of light is insufficient to believe light exists.

    "You'd have to explain, for one, why the hell we have a part of our brain that creates an experience of divinity."

    Really, AJ? The deity-shaped hole?

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  56. Dan L.

    1) In all honesty, I don't think true epistemological skepticism gets you out of bed in the morning. I mean, yes, you can dismantle ANYTHING with it, but in the end, we tend to believe the results of our experiences unless we're given a specific and concrete reason to doubt it, and that basically passes for rational thought. We all hypothesize, "Absent contrary evidence, the experience of my senses are true" and go from there.

    2) I'm not sure, like I was saying to Steve, that it's obvious and most parsimonious that God-experience is no more than a brain fart. I just don't think our scientific understanding of the brain has advanced that far yet. Or to put it another way, I'm willing to concede the possibility of what one might call "bootstrap experiences"--where the experience is so immediate that it is self-proving to the limit of one's rational thought. So while I personally agree with you, the proof is still a little up in the air.

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  57. (And now I have to go get some actual work done, and probably won't pick up the thread again, but thanks to everyone who gave me good points to think about!)

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  58. @lee_merrill:

    I'll stick with KJV, since that one is, after all, "breathed out by God."

    Isaiah 17:1: The burden of Damascus. Behold, Damascus is taken away from being a city, and it shall be a ruinous heap.

    You know that Damascus is still an active, thriving city, right?

    Isaiah 52:1: Awake, awake; put on thy strength, O Zion; put on thy beautiful garments, O Jerusalem, the holy city: for henceforth there shall no more come into thee the uncircumcised and the unclean.

    OK, I'll admit, I'm not willing to check this one. But I'm willing to say without fear of contradiction that there are, in fact, uncircumcised people in Jerusalem today.

    Ezekiel 29:10-11: Behold, therefore I am against thee, and against thy rivers, and I will make the land of Egypt utterly waste and desolate, from the tower of Syene even unto the border of Ethiopia. No foot of man shall pass through it, nor foot of beast shall pass through it, neither shall it be inhabited forty years.

    There has never been a time in all the history of Egypt that it has been uninhabited for forty years. The feet of both men and beasts have passed through it all throughout history.

    Jonah 3:4: And Jonah began to enter into the city a day's journey, and he cried, and said, Yet forty days, and Nineveh shall be overthrown.

    See, now this one gets a little tricky. Nineveh was never overthrown, because God changed his mind in six verses later.
    Jonah 3:10: And God saw their works, that they turned from their evil way; and God repented of the evil, that he had said that he would do unto them; and he did it not.

    But then, what do we make of Malachi 3:6, Numbers 23:19 and Ezekiel 24:14, where it tells us that God never changes his mind?

    So I think we can call that one a wash, as well.

    Matthew 26:64: Jesus saith unto him (the high priest), Thou hast said: nevertheless I say unto you, Hereafter shall ye see the Son of man sitting on the right hand of power, and coming in the clouds of heaven.

    The high priest died without ever seeing Jesus return. In fact, it's been over 2000 years. Maybe He's waiting until He can't whistle through His palm?

    If "fulfilled" prophesy proves that God exists, what does failed prophesy mean? How many more would you like?

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  59. It's interesting to see an accomodationist like AJ helplessly persist with flagrantly invalid arguments even after they are repeatedly refuted. Even though such people avow themselves atheists, they clearly retain a rather strong emotional need to cling to the possibility that some religious beliefs might be founded. This I think is the real agenda, not tender-heartedness toward believers.

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  60. Um, why ask people on the internet for something like this? Turn to real peer-reviewed theology if you're genuinely interested in hearing the best theistic arguments.

    A few off the top of my head:

    1. Kalam cosmological argument
    2. Argument from contingency
    3. Plantinga's modal ontological argument
    4. Maydole's modal perfection ontological argument
    5. Fine-tuning arguments
    6. Argument from reason
    7. Evolutionary argument against naturalism
    8. Moral arguments
    9. prosblogion.ektopos.com is loaded with arguments

    Not all theists are idiotic creationists from Nebraska.

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  61. I don't think you're going to get an argument from an apologist that attempts to convince you that god(s) exist(s). I don't think that apolgetics is, in fact, aimed at the unbeliever. It is aimed instead at the believer who is experiencing doubt. That's why the arguments offered often are based on emotions or refer to sophisticated theology that is not cited. That may be enough to quell the doubt.

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  62. AJKamper says:

    Moreover, there are a lot of experiences which we don't know "where they come from," except in the bluntest, least precise way. Our understanding of the brain is not remotely sufficient yet to prove the exact genesis of every experience.

    That an experience has happened is testable--where it comes from is only fractionally so. We can make someone (though not fully predictably) sense the existence of God--just like we can get someone to see flashes of light when no light is there. That doesn't mean that light doesn't exist.


    If we cannot prove the genesis of every experience, how can we definitively conclude that one's "experience of the divine" confirms another's "experience of the divine" to be even experience of the same thing?

    Secondly, light is proven to exist. That fact that you can make someone 'sense the existence of God' is moot until you can prove the existence of God, otherwise, you might as well say that he 'sensed Bigmu'

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  63. "Turn to real peer-reviewed theology if you're genuinely interested in hearing the best theistic arguments."

    We're not. We're asking those who keep telling us that there are these great theological arguments that we're so dismissive of to demonstrate that they have knowledge of them.

    "Not all theists are idiotic creationists from Nebraska."

    No, but a large voting majority of them are (and further, many deities themselves, such as YHWH, are suppose to claim that it is much harder to believe in them unless you're an idiot creationist from Nebraska, reason being the enemy of faith, and all that.

    If you believe in some nebulous god of the gaps whose existence can only be teased out by the most sophisticated sophistry then good for you, but we do wonder why such individuals are so eager to share their theological umbrella with the savage thug gods of the more homophobic and misogynistic of the Abrahamists.

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  64. Firstly, I just wanted to say how glad I am that you made the distinction between the US CFI and other CFIs around the world. You are the only blogger I have read today (despite reading through a great deal of coverage) that actually made this distinction.

    Secondly, great challenge! This has been one of the most frustrating aspects of talking to theists for me - this endless withholding of key information. "I win the debate because my information is better. What? No, I can't tell you what that information is." I have now reached the point where I ask people, straight from the start, what the best arguments are. I have yet to hear an actual response (other than the typical: "Why are you being so militant?").

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  65. AJKamper says,

    I simply said that I can't judge someone's experiences till I've had them.

    Really?

    There are ten thousand people who are absolutely convinced they've been abducted by aliens. Aren't you the least bit tempted to judge them?

    There are millions of people who claim that homeopathy has cured their disease. Do you think they could be right?

    What about the people who have seen Bigfoot? You are never going to have that experience—trust me on this one. Does that mean you are unable to form a judgment about the existence of Bigfoot?

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  66. Martin, many of us are in fact familiar with the items on your list, and we regard them as having repeatedly been shown to be invalid. That's why Larry was looking for new ones.

    But don't take the lazy way out. Pick what you think is the strongest argument from that list and defend its validity against criticism.

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  67. All question of God's (or gods') existence cannot be questions of existence, but questions about the nature of God. God has to exist if only as a word used by men...(Wittgenstein 101).

    The claim "God doesn't exists." is an illogical proposition of the first rank, as "God" has to mean something, therefore "God" has to have existence to have any sense. Broken down in symbol logic it is G=-G, and by definition an absurdity.

    Is "God" a fable men created?
    Is "God" the creator of the Universe?
    Is "God" love?
    Is "God" the ground of being?
    Is "God" a projection of man's wish fulfilment?
    Is "God" a Delusion
    Etc...

    In EVERY CASE, or any other CASE you can think of is based on some sort of existence for the word, "God." Thus the real question is how does "God" exist and not whether "God" exist.

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  68. I have a word for Odin. Perhaps Tito can explain to us how Odin exists.

    (I've actually seen his German counterpart, Wotan- onstage at the opera. QED!)

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  69. Steve,

    Martin, many of us are in fact familiar with the items on your list, and we regard them as having repeatedly been shown to be invalid.

    Really? Invalid? So the conclusions don't follow from the premises?

    Well that's just not true at all. For instance, one of the moral arguments is modus tollens and thus is perfectly valid.

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  70. 1) In all honesty, I don't think true epistemological skepticism gets you out of bed in the morning...we tend to believe the results of our experiences unless we're given a specific and concrete reason to doubt it, and that basically passes for rational thought.

    You're wrong about epistemological skepticism. I need neither beliefs nor knowledge to get up in the morning -- consider the fact that salamanders (just for one example) also get up in the morning without necessarily possessing anything we might call beliefs or knowledge. I can go about life and experience things without forming definite judgments about the causes or explanations for those experiences. I can live in a world of appearances and deny any deeper reasoning behind my own actions beyond "I did what seemed appropriate to me at the time."

    In fact, I don't think there's anything correct, wise, or rational about trusting the "results" of our experiences -- but what you mean by that is ambiguous. I'll readily believe the fact of my experience -- I have no choice. But as Descartes pointed out, the fact of my experiences are not evidence for any particular cause for those experiences. THIS is the important distinction. If I hear a ringing in my ear, I am not immediately justified in concluding that mechanical waves are being propagated to my ears from some source. If I ask the person sitting next to me whether they are hearing a ringing sound and they are, that is evidence for such a conclusion. But before I seek confirmation through an independent source, my experience is consistent with two plausible causal explanations, and there is no obvious way to distinguish which one is better.

    Thus, I wouldn't deny hearing a ringing sound, but neither would I assent to the notion that there was actually a sound to hear. To figure out whether I should, I need to do some further investigation -- essentially, to try to falsify one or the other proposition. If everyone else in the room denies hearing the sound, then that's evidence that I'm experiencing tinnitus, but not proof -- my hearing may simply be better than theirs.

    At root, skepticism is essentially the position that doubt is a better guide to knowledge than wild guesses. By doubting and trying to disprove certain causal explanations for my experiences, I can more precisely delimit the sorts of causal explanations that would be acceptable. That is, in a nutshell, the idea behind the scientific method.

    2) I'm not sure...that it's obvious and most parsimonious that God-experience is no more than a brain fart...Or to put it another way, I'm willing to concede the possibility of what one might call "bootstrap experiences"--where the experience is so immediate that it is self-proving to the limit of one's rational thought.

    I'm not claiming it's obvious that God-experience is no more than a brain fart, and I'm not claiming it's prima facie parsimonious. The parsimony follows from the fact that facts that are already confirmed by science are sufficient to explain God-experience, and that therefore it is not parsimonious to conjecture that they might be caused by something else that is, either contingently or in principle, completely unknown to science.

    Again, the "caused by" is REALLY important. Your "bootstrap experiences" are fine as far as they go -- experiences ARE self-proving, but they provide neither proof nor evidence in and of themselves about the CAUSE of the experience. This is just the brain-in-a-vat problem.

    I know you're probably done with the thread, but I did want to correct what I thought were misconceptions about a) skepticism in general and b) the specific argument I'm making.

    -Dan L.

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  71. Again, Martin, stop bullshitting and lay out one single argument that you believe to be logically valid. Than we can get to work.

    The modal ontological arguments that I've seen are always question-begging. That means that yes, they are logically invalid. (Plantinga's reply that by this standard all logically valid arguments are question-begging is nonsense.)

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  72. They might follow from their premises, but the premises are false. It's the question of internal vs. external validity. I can "prove" that all dogs are cats if I set up the proper premises. Problem is, the argument has no relationship to the world.

    Each of the arguments you listed there have quick and easy refutations, and all have been dealt with umpteen times. The OP is looking for new ones, not a rehashed list of ancient ones.

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  73. Another problem is that if I claim my conception of the maximally great being is the Easter Bunny, then the argument "works" just as well for him as for Plantinga's God.

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  74. Tito,

    I think any atheist is willing to admit that gods are fables. The question being asked is if any gods exist in the sense that believers think they do.

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  75. 1) In all honesty, I don't think true epistemological skepticism gets you out of bed in the morning.

    Well, I didn't know there was something called "true" epistemological skepticism. I guess my epistemological skepticism must be a "false" epistemological skepticism?

    Salamanders (just for example) get up in the morning without necessarily having beliefs or knowledge of any but perhaps a very rudimentary sort. I can live in a world of appearances, reacting to it as seems appropriate without actually ever affirming the truth of any given proposition (besides propositions about how things seem to me at a given time). This answer was given to your criticism of skepticism before the alleged birth of Jesus Christ, by the way. Perhaps you should read more about skepticism before dismissing it.





    we tend to believe the results of our experiences unless we're given a specific and concrete reason to doubt it, and that basically passes for rational thought.

    It's not clear what you mean by "results." If I hear a ringing sound in my ear, I believe that I hear a ringing sound. But I don't believe that there actually IS a ringing sound; it might just be tinnitus. I need to do a little more work to be able to come to a conclusion about the cause of an experience.

    I don't think there's anything correct, wise, or rational about inferring the cause of an experience from its content, and the fact that everybody does it doesn't prove a thing. If you're trying to show religious people are rational and you define "rational" as "how religious people think," you're just begging the question, right?

    2) I'm not sure, like I was saying to Steve, that it's obvious and most parsimonious that God-experience is no more than a brain fart... I'm willing to concede the possibility of what one might call "bootstrap experiences"--where the experience is so immediate that it is self-proving to the limit of one's rational thought.

    First, you really need to acknowledge the difference between the fact of an experience (for which the experience itself is evidence, as you describe) and the cause of the experience. I am not skeptical about what I experience because it is evidence for itself. I am skeptical about the causes of any particular experience. So much for "bootstrap experiences."

    Second, I'm not arguing that it's obvious or prima facie more parsimonious that God experience is a brain fart. I'm arguing that GIVEN:
    a) we know brain farts CAN cause God experience
    b) there are such things as brain farts
    c) we do not know of anything besides brain farts that can cause God experience
    d) the possibility of the cause suggested for God experience by believers (i.e. God) is not confirmed by any reliably intersubjective evidence
    it's more parsimonious to assume God experience is a brain fart.

    I know you're not participating, but I wanted to address misconceptions about my arguments and skepticism in general.

    -Dan L.

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  76. @ Lee Merrill:

    What about Tyre?

    (Ezekiel 26:7-14)

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  77. "Another problem is that if I claim my conception of the maximally great being is the Easter Bunny, then the argument "works" just as well for him as for Plantinga's God."

    So, you acknowledge that Plantiga's argument is a successful argument for a "maximally excellent", but we can just have syntactic quibbles over what to call it?

    If that's your objection, then I think Plantiga has succeeded.

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  78. Steve,

    OK, one version of the moral argument:

    1. If God does not exist, then objective moral values do not exist
    2. Objective moral values exist
    3. Therefore, God exists

    The argument form is modus tollens:

    If P, then Q.
    Not Q.
    Therefore, not P

    Which is a valid syllogism. The conclusion follows logically from the premises.

    All the other arguments are in valid form as well.

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  79. Steve,

    Another problem is that if I claim my conception of the maximally great being is the Easter Bunny, then the argument "works" just as well for him as for Plantinga's God.

    The ontological arguments are for maximally excellent beings. If you want to call it the Easter Bunny, then by all means, go ahead. It doesn't affect the argument.

    You may be right about question begging, however. Although the new one by Maydole seems to make less assumptions. Still trying to wrap my head around it myself.

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  80. crommunist,

    Each of the arguments you listed there have quick and easy refutations

    That's a bold statement. Where, exactly?

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  81. If you want to call it the Easter Bunny, then by all means, go ahead. It doesn't affect the argument.

    It means that the argument doesn't prove what believers want it to, and is thus irrelevant to supporting religion

    But worse, even Plantinga admits there's no good reason to believe in the possible-existence premise anyway, then goes on to say that since there's (supposedly) no good reason NOT to believe it it's a 50/50 proposition. That frankly is pathetic, a professional philosopher should be ashamed of such bilge.

    The argument has inspired most other philosophers with contempt, and many attacks on it have been published. If you're really unfamiliar with them, your pretence of erudition is obviously a sham and it's a waste of time to argue with you.

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  82. 1. Kalam cosmological argument

    If you agree to the premises -- and there are both empirical and analytical reasons not to -- then you've shown only that there is a first cause and called it God. It's completely consistent with a materialist universe in which we've named the big bang "God" -- in fact, since we're pretty sure there's a big bang and we don't know it has a cause (any more than we know God doesn't have a cause), scientific cosmology is more consistent with Kalam than theological cosmology.

    5. Fine-tuning arguments

    All assume that our understanding of fundamental physics and how it's parameterized are essentially complete. No physicist would assent to such a statement. For example, we're not sure what it would mean to change one physical constant leaving the others the same, whether the resulting universe is really a "possible universe" (there may be some deeper structure unknown to us preventing these sorts of things). As soon as one takes a scientific view (methodological naturalism) of physical theories, fine-tuning arguments disappear -- they require an ontological commitment to the truth of current theories (and certain unwarranted extrapolations therefrom), which the scientific method essentially forbids.

    8. Moral arguments

    People do not find the same things moral or immoral. Some people do not find anything immoral, some people think almost everything is immoral. This is an argument against absolute morality, and therefore notions of God that include concepts of absolute morality.

    I haven't checked out the others on your list, but I hope this isn't representative.

    -Dan L.

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  83. So, you acknowledge that Plantiga's argument is a successful argument for a "maximally excellent", but we can just have syntactic quibbles over what to call it?

    No, I acknowledge no such thing. The premise is question-begging (and incoherent as well). That's why I put the word "works" in scare quotes.

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  84. "fulfilled prophecy is the evidence"

    http://www.freethinkersbooks.com/100fbp.htm

    There are many, many examples of God and Jesus making prophecies that fail to come true.

    So it's evidence: very, very strong evidence against.

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  85. 『  Isaiah 52:1: Awake, awake; put on thy strength, O Zion; put on thy beautiful garments, O Jerusalem, the holy city: for henceforth there shall no more come into thee the uncircumcised and the unclean.

     OK, I'll admit, I'm not willing to check this one. But I'm willing to say without fear of contradiction that there are, in fact, uncircumcised people in Jerusalem today.』

    I just now read Isaiah 52:1 in the original Hebrew, and noted that the word translated as "unclean" specifically means "ritually unclean", or "tameh" (טמא).

    Leviticus 11 asserts that those who come into contact with a corpse of either a human or certain animals becomes "unclean" in this manner.

    Leviticus 12 adds that women who have just given birth are also unclean.

    And as noted in Leviticus 15, this also applies at the very least to (1) women who are menstruating (2) those who come into contact with women who are menstruating (3) men who ejaculate semen, either from a wet dream or sex, and any putative sex partner. There are other ways of becoming unclean, but the above certainly appear to be things that normal human beings do (or have happen accidentally) fairly regularly.

    So there being people who are unclean in Jerusalem, as well as there being people who are uncircumcised, is a near-certainty.

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  86. "In order to test your idea, we'd pretty much have to sit someone in an MRI and wait till they started talking to God. Which would be kind of fun, but maybe expensive."

    No. God could tell that person something that no-one else in his civilisation knew or could possibly know - if Jesus said 'it would take a ray of light four and a bit years to reach Alpha Centauri', for example.

    This wouldn't be evidence that God existed per se - it might just mean God came from a flying saucer - but it would be pretty spectacular evidence that something very, very unusual was going on.

    So ... what do we get like that from the Bible: the universe was created in six days, bats are a type of bird, the Sun goes round the Earth, there are only three continents, the winds live in big sheds when they aren't blowing, the smallest seed in existence is the mustard seed.

    Again, it's strong evidence: that the Bible is not divinely inspired.

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  87. I found this excellent summary of the fatal problems of the modal premises in this family of arguments: http://skepticsplay.blogspot.com/2010/03/modal-ontological-argument-revisited.html

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  88. >Thus the real question is how does "God" exist and not whether "God" exist.<

    Easy.

    We can conceive of 'a completely atheistic universe, one with no gods or divine involvement of any kind'.

    Therefore, by the same logic, the atheistic universe exists, and the only real question is 'in what sense does it exist'.

    Both can't be true, the universe can't be agnostic, so we have to work out which is true. Using evidence.

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  89. Anonymous.

    "you've shown only that there is a first cause and called it God"

    Then the argument goes on to show that a cause of the universe can't be physical, in time, space, or natural because the universe is those things, and so the cause had to be external to it.

    "People do not find the same things moral or immoral.

    The argument is for the existence of objective morals, just like the existence of the external world. Some people think the capitol of Illinois is Chicago, but that doesn't change the fact that it's not. In a similar way, some (morally underdeveloped) people think murder is OK but it's still wrong, objectively.

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  90. @ Prof. Moran,

    Is there a way to organize the comments so we have the arguments and comments on them. The sea of comments is quite difficult to parse.

    @ Martin,

    Listing the names of some arguments isn't giving the argument. I think Prof. Moran was asking for the actual premises and conclusions.

    @ Plantinga's Modal Argument

    This argument blatantly begs the question. It is valid in the sense that the conclusion follows from the premises. But it asks us to grant the possibility of a being that exists in every possible world with the properties of the J-C God and then uses the B axiom to show that low and behold God exists. But this really is just a trick (illusion, Michael).

    There is an equivocation. Plantinga asks us to consider the "possibility" of such a God. Here he has epistemic possibility in mind. But when he plugs it into the Brouwer axiom, he uses metaphysical possibility to reach the conclusion. But it is obviously unsound.

    To see it differently, he goes from having us imagine God exists to it not being possible that God doesn't exist. That is right. According to Plantinga, it is not metaphysically possible that God doesn't exist because Plantinga defines God as a necessary being, namely, one that exists in all possible worlds. This is absurd. Surely most theists will grant that it is metaphysically possible that God doesn't exist. But according to Plantinga's argument, it is not metaphysically possible that God doesn't exist.

    I take Plantinga's argument to be of the more sophisticated ones (anything that requires S5 modal logic is pretty sophisticated). But it is also sophistical.

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  91. @lee_merril I agree with you that the Babylon prophecy is eerie, and to be perfectly frank, the hairs raised on the back of my neck when I read the Wikipedia page for Babylon in light of what you wrote.

    However, to be fair, you shouldn't just count the prophecies that turned out but the ones that failed as well:

    http://skepticsannotatedbible.com/proph/long.html

    (Read at least 20 before closing the tab - don't just be put off by things like the proper interpretation of the word "die" in the phrase "thou shalt surely *die*". This is their exhaustive list, so some are going to be better than others.)

    If this prophecy issue really is important to you, you should go through that list and check each one out, cross them off one at a time. I think that would be the intellectually honest thing to do, if you take your faith seriously (and I think, by the fact you bothered to reply, that you do).

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  92. Martin:
    Where, exactly?

    The Iron Chariots wiki is a good place to start.

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  93. Oh, Nameless_Cynic beat me to it.

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  94. Not to beat a dead horse, but I don't see the point in any of this arguing about theological knowledge from atheists. I know very little to nothing about greek mythology and yet I wouldn't give a second of consideration about the validity of any of those gods. That goes for unicorns and gnomes, too. I don't have to be well versed in anything when it's so completely obvious that it's been proven not to exist and its arguments have been refuted so many times over and over again.
    I personally hate reading christian scriptures. They're so freakin' boring and confusing and have failed to provide any weight on validating its claims.

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  95. There's an idea I had recently.

    Part of the problem is that theologians equivocate all the damn time. Aquinas is the most obvious and worst ("Something necessary must necessarily exist ... and this we call God"), but lots of them do it.

    So maybe we should just take the word "God" off the table; refuse to even use the word.

    What are the arguments the prove the existence of an invisible bodiless omniscience omnipotent magical person?

    How does the Kalam cosmological argument prove the existence of an invisible bodiless omniscience omnipotent magical person?

    How does "prophecy" prove the existence of an invisible bodiless omniscience omnipotent magical person?

    How does the phrase "maximally excellent" prove the existence of an invisible bodiless omniscience omnipotent magical person?

    Just keep copying and pasting that phrase in there. Resist the temptation to shorten it to IBOOMP. That's what atheists don't believe exists. That's what theists insist does too exist.

    Why are they arguing that an invisible bodiless omniscience omnipotent magical person exists when they have no evindence or logic that supports an invisible bodiless omniscience omnipotent magical person?

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  96. Bah.

    Just goes to show the dangers of copying and pasting. Mutations can creep in!

    I meant an "invisible bodiless omniscient omnipotent magical person" in my previous comment.

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  97. arensb,

    I'm extremely leary of random internet sites instead of reliable sources. There is a load of bad information out there. In fact, right off the bat I found some embarrassing responses to the Kalam argument: http://wiki.ironchariots.org/index.php?title=Kalam#Circularity

    Dan Barker gives a response that just confirms what I've suspected for awhile now:

    Atheists are to philosophy as Christians are to biology.

    Extreme ignorance of the most basic principles and ideas, and willful refusal to increase their knowledge.

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  98. @ Martin

    As a graduate student in philosophy, I know plenty of atheist graduate students and professors. There are actually very good statistics on the beliefs of philosophers (we did a survey). There are plenty of atheists so I am not sure why you think the set of philosophers and the set of atheists doesn't over lap.

    Could you address my worry about Plantinga's argument posted above.

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  99. An "accommodationist" now is someone who even found theism or deism plausible?

    I always thought of it as the pragmatical stance of saying to a creationist things like "most Christians, and even the Catholic church, accept evolution, just like you probably accept that diseases can be understood by their natural causes, like germs and genes" (and the same with eventual natural phenomena in "dispute", whenever it occurs), rather than a more all-or-nothing approach, "creationism is wrong, for lots of things, but mainly because there are no gods to begin with".

    I think the first way is probably the more effective way to make people accept most of science, to an extent that it's enough to not be something that worth worrying about that much, most of the time. After all, people with this sort of mind set were the ones who perhaps have made the bulk of scientific knowledge we have now, all over our history.

    As long as they can keep things separated, even though they do this by mean of some logical exception that they allow for their particular beliefs, not trying to ingrain these beliefs in the explanations of natural things, but, in the other hand, making ad hoc accommodations/interpretations to their supernatural beliefs, adjusting it with the facts with verifiable reality, that's just fine. Add the acceptance of laicism, and then the whole thing would be no more important than a few people believing that somehow the steady state theory is correct, or in branes, string theory, or whatever.

    I don't think that there will be any strong argument for the idea of an original super-dude or the closest thing logically possible to an omnipotent mind creating everything, and I think that most atheists, even "accommodationists" or "enablers" would think almost the same. Asking "accommodationists" or "enablers" to defend something like that misses totally the point.

    I think the real point is, to ask what are the most feasible ways hinder or heal the most damaging effects of religion, the most important being probably religiously motivated violence, "scientific fundamentalistm", and laws ruling according to religious principles, like anti-abortion laws.

    I'm not sure about either of them, but what seems logic is that the promotion of the more innocuous religious views is more effective than trying to throw atheism down their throats -- and no violence is implied here, I'm speaking only about the abrupt change in their "realities" that atheism mean, compared to less radical/more moderate interpretations of the same basic "reality".

    And that's what I think is always lacking in this "accommodationism versus non-accommodationism" "debate".

    It seems quite obvious to me that the psychological resistance to someone accept the latter would be much smaller than when asking to abruptly discard "everything" one believes. Even if it's still not "right" from a "ultra-scientific", "pure-logic" point of view. People are not 100% driven by logic, and perhaps that's why non-accommodationists act like this, insisting in a strategy of dubious feasibility to achieve this goal.

    Unless, the goal is not as pragmatic as I thought it would be, just aiming to reduce the harm of religion, but rather to achieve a dream world where everyone follows science to its fullest extent, with every possibility in between just as worthless as being back in medieval times. Sometimes, that's what it seems.

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  100. the argument goes on to show that a cause of the universe can't be physical, in time, space, or natural because the universe is those things, and so the cause had to be external to it.

    It can only demonstrate those things by ontologically committing to particular concepts of "physical," "time," "space" and "natural." Besides the inherent problems with such commitments, which I mentioned in my bit about fine tuning arguments, these particular commitments are unsound because of empirical and theoretical scientific considerations in addition to philosophical critiques of the same notions. Basically, we can only demonstrate the "outsideness" of the first cause by assuming we know where the walls are. But we don't. Sorry.

    The argument is for the existence of objective morals, just like the existence of the external world. Some people think the capitol of Illinois is Chicago, but that doesn't change the fact that it's not. In a similar way, some (morally underdeveloped) people think murder is OK but it's still wrong, objectively.

    But if every human being on earth thought the capital of Illinois was Chicago including all the state legislators and government employees, then Chicago would be the capitol of Illinois. Maybe just a bad example, but if I extend the reasoning to morals, you've proved my point.

    What reason is there to believe that there is such a thing as objective morality?

    If you actually read my posts, you'll note I sign them despite using the anonymous option (out of laziness).

    -Dan L.

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  101. There is a god, and he is a girl!!! This is the best argument in favor of god I've ever seen, but unfortunately it only works for one of them...

    http://www.principiadiscordia.com/book/72.php

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  102. Martin,
    Stop dodging.
    The challenge isn't for atheists to display their philosphical prowess.

    The challenge is for theists to provide an argument for the existence of a supernatural being.

    You provide the definition. You show the evidence. If atheists are so ignorant, show us what we are ignorant of.

    I think I will be waiting for a very long time.

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  103. Martin, can you tell us what's specifically wrong with Barker's critique of Kalam? (http://www.infidels.org/library/modern/dan_barker/kalamity.html)

    I haven't read it before -- I'm reading it now, and I'd be interested in hearing why you think it's embarrassing.

    -Dan L.

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  104. This challenge has been up for three days and so far there have only been a few tired arguments for god's existence. Nothing novel.

    I'm a bit surprised that since 1998, the year "Philosophy of Religion: Selected Readings, 3rd edition" was published (and the same year I took the course of the same name) there apparently hasn't been a single notable advance in arguments for god's existence.

    At what point can we confidently conclude game over?

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  105. Now that this discussion here has picked up speed, I hope I am forgiven to re-post something I wrote deep in the bowels of one of the threads over at WEIT.

    It seems important to me to be clear about what is supposed to be proven, as many apologists and also some fellow atheists frequently conflate different parts of the problem. In fact I think there are several different hurdles an apologist has to leap over, and they may need different types of reasoning or evidence:

    1. Demonstrate a higher intelligence working in the universe.

    2. Explain why it must be divine, instead of a sufficiently advanced alien species or similar. (Although to be honest, I feel this could be relaxed, as an alien intelligence sufficiently advanced to create the universe or answer our prayers would for all practical purposes be indistinguishable from being gods.)

    3. Explain, now that we can grant the existence of some divine being(s) in the universe, from where exactly you get the knowledge that it is/they are identical to God as worshiped by your sect, and not as worshiped by another. And how you know its/their will.

    4. Make a case for this higher intelligence being worthy of worship as opposed to contempt. If it turns out that it throws people into a lake of fire for all eternity for having had consensual extramarital sex, for example, it may well be a god, but not worthy of our devotion.

    Most apologists are genuinely convinced that they have cleared hurdle #1, but then smugly pretend they have also cleared #2-#4. If an apologist is aware of that problem and only wants to prove a mysterious higher intelligence, oh well. But if they say fine-tuning, thus Jesus, they should be called out on it.

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  106. Dave,

    If someone is a philosopher and an atheist, then they might tend to be more well-versed, although I've been absolutely shocked at some of the poor performance atheist debaters have shown against theists. But for the most part I speak of laymen. In response to modern sophisticated theist arguments, I see mainly accusations of sophistry, wordplay, etc and a clear overconfidence from their days of fighting ignorant creationists, instead of actually debating the premises of the arguments.

    As for Plantinga, I agree that the major problem with it is that it begs the question (maybe; it's controversial whether it does or not). But one response is that natural theology is a cumulative case; that kalam and other arguments lend enough weight to get ontological arguments off the ground.

    Another response is that Maydole has an interesting new argument that does not assume that a perfect being would be necessary nor that existence is a perfection.

    It will take me quite some time to even understand his basic argument, much less unpack it.

    These people ain't no ignorant fundies.

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  107. As for the most relevant apologetics that have been thrown into the ring so far (seriously, the biblical prophecies are just too silly considering how many of them remain unfulfilled),

    1. Kalam cosmological argument
    Read here.

    2. Argument from contingency
    Special pleading, plus clears only hurdle #1: even if it existed, a first cause or whatever may not deserve the identifier "god".

    3. Plantinga's modal ontological argument
    Like all these semantic games, it can be shot down by proving the exact opposite: among all possible worlds, there must be one where god does not exist, thus he is not greatest, jadda jadda jadda. Honestly, trying to define things into existence has never worked and all of it is easily shown as absurd by substituting the object of the proof.

    4. Maydole's modal perfection ontological argument
    Never heard of that, at least under that name, so who knows? Maybe it is the killer. But see immediately above.

    5. Fine-tuning arguments
    You got to be kidding. Clear case of confusing cause and effect. May I also take the liberty to introduce you to the anthropic principle? And then, if the universe is fine-tuned for anything, then it must be dark matter, or hydrogen molecules. Pity that they seem to be unable to build temples.

    6. Argument from reason
    Please elaborate. If it is what I think it is, I would simply argue that any universe that is stable and lawful enough to allow intelligent life to evolve must necessarily be lawful enough to be understood by reason. Another case for the anthropic principle, you could say. It might even be possible that a universe without rules, that could not be understood, cannot exist at all, but then, I am not a physicist.

    7. Evolutionary argument against naturalism
    This is so cryptic that I cannot even guess what it is supposed to mean. I would not know how a case against naturalism could possibly be made with evolution as a starting point(?). Care to elaborate?

    8. Moral arguments
    Again very cryptic. But this kind of apologetics got its mercy killing with Euthyphro, and all I have ever seen trying to refute Euthyphro were ignoring the actual problem, trying to play word games to work around it.

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  108. Dan L,

    Basically, we can only demonstrate the "outsideness" of the first cause by assuming we know where the walls are.

    I don't understand what you are trying to say. The point of the argument is that the Big Bang needs a cause. Yay or nay? If so, then the cause can't consist of things in the universe. Yay or nay?

    Maybe just a bad example, but if I extend the reasoning to morals, you've proved my point.

    Definitely a bad example on my part. If everyone on earth thought that Hawaii did not exist, Hawaii would still exist. I.e., the external world is objective, not subjective.

    What reason is there to believe that there is such a thing as objective morality?

    There may not be; this is certainly a live debate in philosophy. But a good case can be made for them as well. Much of the time by just appealing to intuition, unfortunately. Does the external world seem real as opposed to a computer simulation? Could be wrong, but I'd say yes. Is it wrong to rape a child and then cut her arms off even if everyone thought it was right? Many people would answer yes.

    It's a philosophical argument, and like most things in philosophy it's going to be controversial.

    My only contention is that controversial <> refuted.

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  109. It's perhaps worth noting that according to the PhilPapers survey of professional philosophers, atheism is by far the majority position (>72% "accept or lean toward atheism" of target faculty in all areas of study).

    This proportion is, unsurprisingly, reversed if one considers only philosophy of religion, with >72% "accept or lean toward theism".

    Sampling other areas of study suggests that the ~70% atheist proportion is very much the norm, with relatively few outliers; the proportion of atheists seems to be slightly (possibly not significantly) higher in the field of meta-ethics, and very substantially higher in the fields of philosophy of mind (>80%) and philosophy of cognitive science (>90%).

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  110. Martin:

    Can you understand why many people are frustrated here? Larry's challenge was to state the sophisticated argument for the existence of god that those ignorant atheists are not addressing. You have mentioned several but not stated any of them. And you have repeated claims that the atheists are ignorant of those arguments, which only acts to increase the frustration. I don't know that much about philosophy. I would like to hear the sophisticated arguments. Please provide at least one. ("Sophisticated" doesn't mean "I don't understand it; if you yourself can't understand the argument -- as you imply with Maydole's -- that of itself doesn't make that argument sophisticated.

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  111. Larry

    Whether God or Gods now exist is of no consequence. What is mandatory is that one or more supernatural entities must have once existed. The notion that life could have spontaneously generated and then evolved even once is transparently absurd. Since the Darwinian atheist inspired model is a dismal failure, there is only one possible alternative, a guided origin or origins. That is my position, one I share with Leo Berg, Pierre Grasse, Robert Broom and other critics of the Darwinian fairy tale. If life could be spontaneously produced it would have been demonstrated in the laboratory long ago.

    Furthermore, t